According to what the newspaper reported on Iranian television, “the possibility of war breaking out is still small,” but Iranian forces remain on alert. She added that any final agreement, if reached within 60 days, may later be approved by a binding resolution from the UN Security Council.
On the other hand, Tehran confirmed that the framework of what is known as the “Islamabad Memorandum” has not yet been completed, and that it will not take any step without “tangible verification” of the corresponding commitments. At the same time, US President Donald Trump said, in an interview with PBS, that the United States would not lift sanctions on Iran even if the latter handed over its stock of highly enriched uranium, according to what was reported by Reuters.
Fars Agency, which is close to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, quoted informed sources that Trump may unilaterally announce an agreement to end the war. However, a member of the Iranian negotiating team confirmed that understandings have not yet been reached on all issues, and that no agreement will be announced before a complete settlement that includes all files is achieved.
In the background of this diplomatic path, the US naval blockade emerges as a major pressure factor on Iran. Trump touched on the Iranian negotiation method, saying that Tehran is trying to prolong the talks to reach the closest possible point to the US midterm elections, adding: “I don’t care about the midterm elections.”
But this tactic, according to the report, is not without internal costs for Iran. The regime is facing one of the most complex stages in its history, with the economy sliding into a deep crisis due to the war and the severe naval blockade imposed by the Trump administration.
According to a report by the Wall Street Journal reported by Maariv, the US blockade led to an almost complete paralysis of Iranian oil export revenues, which placed Tehran’s leaders before a sensitive dilemma: Can the regime withstand enough to extract additional concessions, or will the living pressures lead to a new social explosion?
The effects of the crisis began to go beyond the oil ports and reach the daily lives of citizens. The value of the Iranian currency has fallen to record levels, and more than a million people have lost their jobs as a result of factory closures and severe internet outages, while the prices of basic commodities have risen, from rice and meat to bread and cheese.
According to estimates by the Capital Economics Center, Iran’s available foreign currency reserves are not sufficient to cover more than three months of imports, which makes time a pressing factor on the regime.
In the first phase, the Trump administration is seeking an agreement that guarantees the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to global oil and gas traffic, in exchange for a temporary easing of the blockade imposed on Iranian ports. As for the conservative leadership in Tehran, it seeks to avoid appearing to surrender to the United States and Israel.
However, Iranian officials acknowledged that the Islamic Republic cannot tolerate open war indefinitely, and that Iranian nationalism may not last long if the comprehensive economic collapse continues.
