The Emirati website “Erm News” published a new report in which it talked about Hezbollah’s rejection of the ceasefire agreement that was reached during the negotiations between Lebanon and Israel, indicating that the party rejected calm to protect its military arsenal.
The report quotes a Lebanese military source as saying that Hezbollah’s objection to the proposed arrangements is not based only on technical or political reservations, but is directly related to fears that the upcoming agreement will lead to the dismantling of a large part of its military structure deployed in the areas adjacent to the Blue Line, which may lead to it losing the most important power cards it has maintained for decades.
The source added that the party is still betting on linking the Lebanese file to the broader Iranian path, and opposes any attempt to separate the security arrangements in Lebanon from the ongoing regional understandings, considering that this explains a large part of its position rejecting the current negotiations.
The source stated that the essence of the proposed arrangements revolves around reorganizing the security situation in southern Lebanon through gradual stages that include areas and villages located along the Blue Line, with the Lebanese state and the Lebanese army assuming responsibility for managing these areas within follow-up and evaluation mechanisms linked to the implementation of the agreement.
He pointed out that these areas include an important part of Hezbollah’s military structure, including weapons depots, launching pads, and underground sites, which makes the party view the agreement as a direct threat to its remaining military capabilities in the south.
Observers believe that the success of these arrangements will practically mean the transfer of responsibility for security in those areas to Lebanese state institutions, which places the party before an unprecedented entitlement related to the future of its weapons and its military role.
On the other hand, military experts believe that Hezbollah’s continued rejection of the settlement gives Israel an additional justification to continue its military operations, especially in light of American support for the current negotiating track.
Military and strategic expert Saeed Al-Qazah says that the party continues to link its military decision to Iranian calculations, ignoring the transformations that the Lebanese scene has witnessed in recent months, and the resulting massive human, economic, and field losses.
He stated that the remaining military capabilities of the party, especially drones and missiles, have been transformed from an element of deterrence into a factor that increases the possibility of escalation and gives Israel additional pretexts to expand its military operations.
He pointed out that any new violation of the ceasefire through the launching of missiles or drones may lead to the reopening of the confrontation front on a larger scale, and put Lebanon facing a new wave of strikes and destruction.
Observers believe that the debate taking place today goes beyond the limits of the current agreement and includes a deeper question related to the future of the Lebanese state itself, and its role in monopolizing the decision of war and peace.
The military source confirms that the Lebanese state is working in coordination with the relevant international bodies to complete the stages of the proposed agreement, while Hezbollah fears that this mechanism will later turn into a model that can be applied to other regions within Lebanon.
He adds, “The party views any wider spread of state institutions in the areas it controls as a direct threat to its military and security influence, which explains the extent of its opposition to the current path.” (Erm News)
