Gold Analysis and forecasts of prices today
Analysis and forecasts of gold prices today – daily updates
Analysis and forecasts of gold prices today in Lebanon and the world
Gold is considered one of the most important safe havens in the world, and with the fluctuations in economic conditions in Lebanon and the world,
Interest in Gold analysis today Follow the price movement moment by moment.
On this page, we show you a comprehensive view of the movement of gold globally and in Lebanon, with daily updates that help you understand what is going on behind the price numbers.
Updated gold price analysis today
Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD) – Comprehensive Analysis
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the gold price outlook (XAU/USD), taking into account the technical and fundamental factors in play. It aims to provide traders and investors with a clear vision of the expected movement of gold prices in the short and medium term.
Factors affecting gold prices
Gold prices are affected by several key factors, including:
- Geopolitical events: Political tensions play a major role in increasing demand for gold as a safe haven.
- Inflation rates: Gold is considered a hedge against inflation, and therefore its price rises as inflation rates rise.
- Interest rate changes: Central banks’ decisions on interest rates affect the attractiveness of gold as an investment.
Technical analysis
Technical analysis signals on the 4-hour chart indicate:
- Bear flag pattern: A bear flag pattern has formed, with the price breaching the $4,373.89 level, indicating a possible target for the $4,202.40 level.
- Sales Ingestion Model: The emergence of a selling engulfing pattern enhances selling pressure after a short-term upward correction.
Proposed trading plan
- Basic scenario: Open short positions below $4,313.67, with price targets at support levels of $4,254.97, 4,202.40, 4,157.47, 4,114.01, 4,059.90, and $4,005.79. And place a stop loss order at $4,342.93.
- Alternative scenario: Open Long Positions with increasing trading volume above the $4,373.89 level, with price targets at the $4,441.34, 4,509.74, 4,576.74, 4,645.91, 4,701.55, and $4,762.72 resistance levels. And place a stop loss order at $4,342.93.
Summary of forecasts
- Current price: Gold is currently trading at $4,331.79 (as of 01/04/2026).
- Tomorrow’s forecast (01/05/2026): The price of gold is expected to range between $4,254.97 and $4,509.74, with an average price of $4,382.35.
- Forecast for next week (29.12.2025–04.01.2026): The price of gold is expected to range between $4,313.67 and $4,645.91, with an average price of $4,479.79.
- Expectations for next month (January 2026): Expectations range from a rise to $4,530.86–4,548.00 due to geopolitical conditions, and stability at $4,337.22 due to interest rate hike expectations.
The main factors affecting the coming month
- Economic data: Initial unemployment claims data, manufacturing PMI, ISM services index, non-manufacturing employment index, job vacancy data, consumer price index, producer price index, and the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.
- Geopolitical tensions: US-China tensions, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
- Central bank purchases: Central bank purchases of gold are expected to average 70 tons per month, which will positively impact the price.
Forecast tables
Gold price forecast for tomorrow (01/05/2026):
| the date | Lowest price ($) | Highest price ($) | Average price ($) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 4,254.97 | 4,509.74 | 4,382.35 |
Gold price forecast for next week (12.29.2025–01.04.2026):
| the date | Lowest price ($) | Highest price ($) | Average price ($) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/29/2025–01/04/2026 | 4,313.67 | 4,645.91 | 4,479.79 |
Gold price expectations for next month (January 2026):
| month | Lowest price ($) | Highest price ($) | Average price ($) |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4,005.79 | 4,701.55 | 4,353.67 |
You can always follow
The price of gold in Lebanon, moment by moment
To know the spot prices in detail.
Today’s gold prices in Lebanon: a quick look
Before going into details Gold price analysisIt is important to follow the spot prices of various karats and shapes of gold in the local market.
On the site 961today We provide updated price tables for:
The daily analysis on this page comes to explain Why These prices have changed, and not only how much The price has become.
What factors affect the price of gold globally?
The price of gold does not move randomly; Rather, it is affected by a number of basic global factors, the most prominent of which are:
1. The strength or weakness of the US dollar
Gold is priced globally in US dollars. When the dollar strengthens, this usually puts downward pressure on gold prices.
Because buying gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. When the dollar weakens, gold tends to rise.
2. Interest rates and central bank decisions
High interest rates, especially in the United States, make investments in bonds and deposits more attractive compared to gold
Which does not generate a fixed income. Therefore, we often see pressure on gold when the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates, and vice versa.
3. Inflation and anxiety about losing purchasing power
In periods of high inflation, investors turn to gold as a tool to protect long-term value.
That’s why many people consider it so A safe haven When prices rise and the purchasing power of currencies declines.
4. Political tensions and geopolitical crises
Wars, political crises, and tensions in the region or the world are all factors that push some to increase their possession of gold as a defensive asset.
This often results in a rise in prices.
Local factors affecting the analysis and forecasts of gold prices today
In addition to global factors, there are elements specific to the Lebanese market that make… Gold price in Lebanon
It sometimes moves differently than other countries, the most important of which are:
1. The exchange rate of the dollar in the local market
With a large portion of transactions in Lebanon relying on the cash dollar, and the existence of more than one exchange rate over the years,
The price of the dollar in the parallel market has a direct impact on gold prices, especially when pricing in Lebanese pounds.
2. Local demand for gold and bullion lira
People’s willingness to buy Gold lira Or bullion as a means of saving, especially in periods of decline
Trust in the banking sector or in the local currency contributes to increasing the movement of gold in the market, and may create price differences between one store and another.
3. Import costs and duties
Any change in the costs of importing gold into Lebanon, or in the fees and taxes associated with it, could affect the final selling price to the consumer.
Types of gold traded in Lebanon: ounces, pounds, bullion
When reading Gold analysis todayIt is important to know which type of gold interests you most:
- Gold ounce: A universal unit of measurement, often based on technical and fundamental analysis.
- Gold lira: A popular product in Lebanon, used for savings and gifts, and is affected by the price of an ounce, the exchange rate, and the local cost.
- Alloys: A preferred choice for those who want to save larger amounts in the form of raw gold with a high purity rate.
You can follow the exact prices for each type through the links above, then return to this page to understand the general picture and predict the trend.
The relationship of gold to the dollar, interest and inflation
The interconnection between gold, the dollar, interest rates and inflation is the core of any… Gold price analysis. Simply put:
- When interest rates rise and the dollar strengthens, the temptation to hold gold decreases, and the price comes under pressure.
- When inflation increases or fears of crises rise, gold returns to playing the role of a safe haven.
- In Lebanon, the impact of global factors combines with a specific economic and financial reality, which makes following this page important to understand the full picture.
How does the reader benefit from the analysis and forecasts of gold prices today?
The purpose of this page is not to provide direct investment recommendations, but rather:
- Help the reader understand the reasons behind the rise or fall in gold prices.
- Get a general idea of short- and medium-term trends.
- Linking what is happening globally to what he sees in the local market in Lebanon.
The final decision to buy or sell remains a personal decision that depends on each person’s financial situation and personal plan.
Therefore, it is always best to consult a financial expert before making big decisions.
Gold analysis in Lebanon today (for researchers in English)
For non-Arabic speakers searching for gold analysis in Lebanon todayThis page provides a daily updated overview of gold prices in Lebanon and worldwide, with a focus on local market conditions, exchange rate impact, and key global economic factors affecting gold.
Frequently asked questions about analysis and forecasts of gold prices today
Can we rely on gold analysis today to make an investment decision?
Daily analysis helps you understand the current picture and the most prominent factors affecting gold, but it does not replace studying your financial situation and personal goals.
It does not constitute direct investment advice.
Is it enough to follow the international price of an ounce to know the price of gold in Lebanon?
The global price per ounce is an essential element, but it is not the only one. In Lebanon, he plays Dollar exchange rate,
The local cost and demand for the gold lira and bullion play an additional role in determining the final price.
What is the best time to buy gold?
There is no one-size-fits-all answer. Some people prefer to buy on sharp declines,
Others buy gradually at intervals. The most important thing is to understand the risks and not invest money that you need in the near term.
Is gold a safe investment in Lebanon?
Gold has historically been considered a store of value, especially in times of crisis, but it remains an asset that can fluctuate up and down.
In Lebanon, many people resort to it as a way to protect part of their savings from currency fluctuation.
Warning: The information mentioned on this page is for informational purposes only and is not considered investment advice or an invitation to buy or sell.
