The BBC reported in a report that military pressures could not stop Iran’s advance, contrary to claims of a decline in its military capabilities.
The network reported that the United States and Israel confirmed that Iran’s military capabilities had decreased significantly, and that the conflict was supposed to be on its way out.
However, the facts on the ground, as stated in the report, point to the opposite direction, as the escalation continues at an accelerated and more severe pace, with the chances of exiting the confrontation diminishing.
The report indicated that Iran’s continued escalation, whether as a result of previously unknown capabilities or capabilities developed under pressure, proves that the military strikes have not achieved the desired goal of curbing Iranian progress.
In this context, the report explained that Tehran’s behavior “suggests everything but collapse,” considering that what is happening reflects coordination in the decision and not confusion, which raises questions about the hypothesis that targeting senior leadership will lead to paralysis in the governance system.
He also raised a question about the effectiveness of the “shock and awe” strategy, asking whether Iran’s decision-making structures were more flexible than expected, which raises the additional problem of not having a clear party to negotiate with.
The report addressed the ambiguity surrounding the status of Mojtaba Khamenei, noting that his silence increases the complexity of the diplomatic path, at a time when Tehran does not see clear gains from participating in the negotiations.
He added that the message among Iranian decision-makers has become clear: negotiation does not stop attacks, but may even encourage them.
On the other hand, the report indicated that US President Donald Trump is moving towards reducing his options, as the lack of the option of ground intervention leaves the United States and Israel with only the option of air strikes, which could cause harm, but without guaranteeing the achievement of decisive goals.
He also warned that these strikes could lead to broader retaliatory responses, which would put the two parties on a more dangerous escalation path, in light of the limited negotiation channels and the decline in chances for a political solution.
