In light of the acceleration of regional developments, warnings are increasing that the region may enter a highly sensitive phase over the weekend, amid military and security indicators that suggest the possibility of tension moving from a framework of mutual deterrence to a broader confrontation, if political contacts do not succeed in containing the escalation.
In reading the scene, the writer and political analyst considered Ali Hamada The data circulating from Israeli and American sources, in addition to international media reports, reflect an unprecedented level of alert, which raises the level of concern about the possibility of dramatic developments during the next few days.
He pointed to a remarkable decline in civil aviation traffic over Iranian airspace, in exchange for the rerouting of a number of flights towards the Gulf or through the Caucasus and Central Asia, which may be linked to navigational notifications against the backdrop of military maneuvers or training involving air and missile defense systems, in addition to measures recently witnessed in the Strait of Hormuz.
Internal Israeli mobilization
According to the same reading, Israeli measures have emerged in recent hours on the home front, including strengthening ambulance services, preparing shelters, and making arrangements in central hospitals to transform underground spaces into emergency areas, in a move that reflects preparation for the possibility of a widespread escalation.
Parallel American movements
On the other hand, these indicators were accompanied by reports of advanced American military readiness in the region. There was talk about the positioning of the aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford In the eastern Mediterranean, in addition to the presence of an aircraft carrier Abraham Lincolnwith the deployment of destroyers and attack submarines equipped with long-range missiles.
These data indicate that the United States has increased its level of operational preparedness, in parallel with the continuation of political consultations. According to media reports, the US military informed the president Donald Trump By completing the necessary logistical arrangements, awaiting the completion of the maritime positioning in the coming days.
Between deterrence and escalation
Observers believe that the region may be at a crossroads: either establishing a mutual deterrence equation that keeps the confrontation within the framework of mutual threats, or an uncalculated slide towards a military strike whose scope may expand regionally.
Although all indicators are still within the framework of possibilities and have not turned into a declared decision for war, the intensity of military movements and the acceleration of preventive measures reflect a delicate stage that requires careful follow-up, as any security incident or error in calculations may push the scene towards a greater escalation than what is currently occurring.
