Lebanon Today

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Amid the current regional tensions and growing speculation about the future of the Middle East, retired Brigadier General Pilot Bassam Yassin, a military expert, provides an in-depth analysis of the situation in Lebanon and the region as a whole.
Yassin warns that Lebanon will not be immune to the major transformations expected, and emphasizes that peace is only achieved after conflicts.
He also rules out the possibility of radical geographical changes in the region without the will of its people.

Brigadier General Yassin acknowledges in his conversation with that it is difficult to predict American intentions towards Lebanon, but he logically believes that the region is witnessing signs of major changes, and therefore Lebanon will not be immune to these developments.
He points to two conflicting visions: one anticipating a coming war, and the other predicting peace in the region.
However, he emphasizes that peace is only achieved after conflict, a fact that is constant throughout the world. He asks: Was the last war the end, or is there a new war waiting for Lebanon? In his opinion, peaceful solutions cannot be reached in Lebanon; rather, things often come “hot,” so he expects Lebanon to witness developments before reaching a final solution.

Regarding the possibility of geographical changes in the region based on the American project, he explains that the United States does not consider the Sykes-Picot Agreement as an inviolable law, but it is very difficult to change the geography of countries, as it does not only concern land, but a people being uprooted from their land.
If the land were uninhabited, it would be easier, but it is difficult for people to separate from their land except by an internal decision to secede.

He emphasizes that if America tries to change the geography of the region without considering the opinions of the people, it will be very difficult and will lay the foundation for future conflicts and problems, citing the Palestinian issue as an example.
Therefore, he rules out any large-scale geographical change.

He touches on the situation in southern Syria, which seems to support secession from the Syrian state, and most of its land is uninhabited.
As for Lebanon, the matter is very difficult, especially if there is thinking of annexing the south to Israel, as this people will not accept that, and if they are displaced, they will remain in a state of constant revolution and will create problems, as did the Palestinian people who were uprooted from their land, so the problems continued at the level of the Arab world from 1948 until today.

He believes that the matter is not easy and will not go as America wants, but things may move towards political solutions after the United States called for the Middle East to be a region of peace instead of a region of conflict, but this requires basic conditions, most notably achieving Arab rights by establishing a Palestinian state.
After securing these conditions, Arab countries can be invited to normalization and peace.

Yassin concludes by emphasizing that the basic conditions for achieving peace are not carried out by America, as it does not go beyond a verbal demand for peace, without exerting any pressure on Israel to give Arab countries their rights before imposing peace, considering that peace cannot be imposed by force.

source: 961 today